Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 7.174616 8.343192 9.604247 11.061717 12.695051 14.464280 16.520782
2025-11-30 5.546764 7.095466 8.894136 11.119792 13.780938 16.841290 20.606182
2025-12-07 4.557543 6.281374 8.399861 11.158685 14.616928 18.767085 24.078475
2025-12-14 3.893408 5.721736 8.079121 11.282219 15.454894 20.636004 27.476249
2025-12-21 3.347436 5.219098 7.740140 11.298063 16.092288 22.223230 30.535194
2025-12-28 3.012350 4.949535 7.660752 11.614345 17.096931 24.283631 34.243784
2026-01-04 2.704612 4.672876 7.529519 11.824479 17.940224 26.139526 37.731077
2026-01-11 2.400637 4.359366 7.305292 11.867342 18.529690 27.653933 40.795270
2026-01-18 2.050608 3.926697 6.856426 11.535005 18.547228 28.360606 42.761854
2026-01-25 1.770217 3.569939 6.484279 11.276407 18.636223 29.145394 44.836667
2026-02-01 1.522868 3.235966 6.112435 10.980525 18.636710 29.783193 46.703482
2026-02-08 1.317558 2.948561 5.786230 10.724290 18.668835 30.449528 48.612562
2026-02-15 1.118880 2.648098 5.411613 10.363836 18.521805 30.850454 50.163238
2026-02-22 1.010111 2.507046 5.299860 10.427828 19.040733 32.259074 53.233439
2026-03-01 0.910324 2.369729 5.180112 10.465029 19.510480 33.600637 56.235694
2026-03-08 0.831939 2.266105 5.111429 10.582269 20.110164 35.155300 59.597297
2026-03-15 0.749979 2.142425 4.991900 10.597305 20.534053 36.442505 62.580688
2026-03-22 0.707306 2.102013 5.029822 10.897509 21.449203 38.530156 66.849373
2026-03-29 0.657936 2.038597 5.015260 11.097004 22.195891 40.367164 70.772390
2026-04-05 0.598261 1.940858 4.920907 11.137701 22.663545 41.762797 74.033991
2026-04-12 0.514704 1.768157 4.651861 10.822195 22.481952 42.084528 75.593764
2026-04-19 0.446789 1.623933 4.428227 10.576753 22.408039 42.572831 77.422358
2026-04-26 0.384602 1.483153 4.196522 10.295992 22.250763 42.908410 79.003019